Monday, December 20, 2010

Will We Remember the Effects of the Recession?

Is the end of the economic recession in Utah just down the road? Here are some positive "green shoots" that suggest we may be bouncing off the bottom.

Forbes Magazine, in an October article titled "The Best States For Business and Careers" , reported, :"Who's doing the best job when it comes to fostering growth?" Utah, according to our fifth-annual look at the Best States for Business. the Beehive State captured the top spot in our rankings for the first time. Utah's economy has expanded 3.5% annually over the past five years, faster than any other state except North Dakota. this is three-and-half times faster than the U.S as a whole. Total employment in the U.S has shrunk over the past five years, but in Utah it increased 1.5% annually (fourth-best in the nation.) Household incomes have surged 5% annually, which is tops in the country and twice as fast as the national average.

The November 15 issue of Newsweek had a piece headlined, "How Utah Became the New Economic Zion," in which the reporter wrote, "it set its own records for new companies (more than 40) and capital investment (nearly $2 billion)." The article provided these specifics: "Greater Salt Lake City...has absorbed massive new data centers for eBay, Twitter, and Oracle; splashy new offices for Disney Interactive and EA sports; and just last month, a commitment from Adobe... to build a 1,000 person software-development campus, where the minimum average salary will be $60,000.

At the end of September, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers announced a contract award for a National Security Agency Building at Camp Williams that will cost approximately $1.5 billion, have one million square feet and will employ 7,000 people during it's construction. It will also create several hundred permanent jobs. The winning bidder was Big-D Construction of Salt Lake City, who will have two other partners on the project from California and Texas.

The National Bureau of Economics Research declared that the Great Recession, which started in December 2007, ended in June of 2009. This may be technically correct, but some economists believe that it will be a long, slow recovery and it will be difficult to have sustained economic growth when so many people are out of work. However, history has shown that the economy is cyclical and eventually conditions will improve. Hopefully Utah is at the beginning of a recovery.

When times get better will we return to traditional spending and borrowing patterns? Will we have learned from our current experiences? My hope is we will continue our thrifty behaviors of saving, paying down debt, and not purchasing things we don't need and can't afford. I hope these lessons will be ingrained in our children and grandchildren.

Article by Rick Craig, President of America First Credit Union

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